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Climate-related credit risk: Rethinking the credit risk framework

E. Redondo, E. Aracil

Global Policy Vol. 15, nº. S1, pp. 21 - 33

Summary:

Climate change and the challenges associated with the transition to a zero-carbon economy pose significant financial risks. Climate-related risks (CRR) indirectly impact banks through their loan portfolios. To examine the integration of CRR into banks' credit risk assessment and monitoring, this article reviews academic and institutional literature using quantitative bibliometric techniques and content analysis of 145 academic documents from policymakers and financial supervisors. A framework emerges that incorporates CRR into credit risk management. We find four thematic areas in the literature: CRR drivers, CRR tools, CRR data and CRR pricing. Overall, uncertainty, non-linearity, geographic and industrial dependency and non-reversibility of CRR difficult climate-related credit risk assessment. Moreover, CRR data present comparability, availability and reliability issues, which Artificial Intelligence can improve. Finally, evidence reveals that current financial prices do not fully reflect CRR. Our findings provide important implications to policymakers for assessing ex-ante the financial impacts of climate transition regulations, the potential for prudential regulatory action, and the need for supra-national policies that facilitate access to reliable and comparable climate data.


Spanish layman's summary:

Este estudio explora la influencia del riesgo climático (CRR) en el riesgo de crédito bancario, ofreciendo un marco para su integración. El marco incluye antecedentes, instrumentos, datos y precios de CRR, y revela desafíos como la incertidumbre y acceso y fiabilidad de los datos climáticos.


English layman's summary:

This study delves into how climate-related risks (CRR) influence banks' loan portfolios, offering a framework for integrating CRR into credit risk management. Examining CRR drivers, tools, data, and pricing, it reveals challenges like uncertainty and data reliability issues.


JCR Impact Factor and WoS quartile: 2,200 - Q1 (2023)

DOI reference: DOI icon https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.13315

Published on paper: March 2024.



Citation:
E. Redondo, E. Aracil, Climate-related credit risk: Rethinking the credit risk framework. Global Policy. Vol. 15, nº. S1, pp. 21 - 33, March 2024.


    Research topics:
  • Managerial transitions to sustainability (SDG) and disruptive business models

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